Emergent Futures Tumblelog

This is the Tumblelog of Paul Higgins and Sandy Teagle - Futurists from Melbourne and Brisbane in Australia. Go to Emergent Futures to see more or follow on Twitter at FuturistPaul . If you right click on the pictures, titles or links in these posts you will be able to go to the original story on the web. If you click on comments for each post you can either read what others have said or add your own comment via Disqus. If you click on the date of a post it will take you to a single post view where you can copy the web link if you want to send it to someone else. If you click on the tags it will take you to other stories from Emergent Futures with the same tag.

smarterplanet:

Can better urban planning make us healthier? - CSMonitor.com

Does urban sprawl cause obesity and unhealthy habits?

Matthew Turner and co-authors have written an under-appreciated paper that was published in the Journal of Urban Economics.   Here is the abstract of their paper titled “Fat City”:

“We study the relationship between urban sprawl and obesity. Using data that tracks individuals over time, we find no evidence that urban sprawl causes obesity. We show that previous findings of a positive relationship most likely reflect a failure to properly control for the fact the individuals who are more likely to be obese choose to live in more sprawling neighborhoods. Our results indicate that current interest in changing the built environment to counter the rise in obesity is misguided.”

Intuitively, Turner estimates a fixed effects regression using panel data where he tracks the same person over time for people who move from the center city to the suburbs or vice versa. If sprawl makes us fat, then the average person who moves from the center to the suburbs should be gaining more weight over time than the people who never leave the center city or never leave the suburbs. Turner rejects this hypothesis.

So, there is plenty of work to be done here but it remains an open question of how urban form affects our behavior. I’ve been especially interested in this question focused on our carbon footprint as a function of urban form.

Posted at 10:48am and tagged with: cities, health,.

smarterplanet:

Can better urban planning make us healthier? - CSMonitor.com
Does urban sprawl cause obesity and unhealthy habits?
Matthew Turner and co-authors have written an under-appreciated paper  that was published in the Journal of Urban Economics.   Here is the  abstract of their paper titled “Fat City”:”

“We  study the relationship between urban sprawl and obesity. Using data that  tracks individuals over time, we find no evidence that urban sprawl  causes obesity. We show that previous findings of a positive  relationship most likely reflect a failure to properly control for the  fact the individuals who are more likely to be obese choose to live in  more sprawling neighborhoods. Our results indicate that current interest  in changing the built environment to counter the rise in obesity is  misguided.”

Intuitively, Turner estimates a fixed  effects regression using panel data where he tracks the same person over  time for people who move from the center city to the suburbs or vice  versa. If sprawl makes us fat, then the average person who moves from  the center to the suburbs should be gaining more weight over time than  the people who never leave the center city or never leave the suburbs.  Turner rejects this hypothesis.
So, there is plenty of work to be  done here but it remains an open question of how urban form affects our  behavior. I’ve been especially interested in this question focused on  our carbon footprint as a function of urban form.
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Notes: