Emergent Futures Tumblelog

This is the Tumblelog of Paul Higgins and Sandy Teagle - Futurists from Melbourne and Brisbane in Australia. Go to Emergent Futures to see more or follow on Twitter at FuturistPaul . If you right click on the pictures, titles or links in these posts you will be able to go to the original story on the web. If you click on comments for each post you can either read what others have said or add your own comment via Disqus. If you click on the date of a post it will take you to a single post view where you can copy the web link if you want to send it to someone else. If you click on the tags it will take you to other stories from Emergent Futures with the same tag.

After a bit of a gap I am back posting at our long form blog

This one is on how to include looking for possible disruptions into an environmental scanning process while accepting you will always miss lots of them.

The post includes several disruptions from our scanning database:

Automate or Perish

http://www.technologyreview.com/news/428402/automate-or-perish/?nlid=nlbus&nld=2012-07-06

Successful businesses will be those that optimize the mix of humans, robots, and algorithms.

Jeff Jarvis


We are seeing a widespread disruption of institutions: not just economically and technologically but also in their status in society. Note: Gallup finds that more than half the institutions it tracks have hit historic lows in confidence in the last five years.

E-Commerce Is Head Over Heels for Pinterest

http://allthingsd.com/20120615/e-commerce-is-head-over-heels-for-pinterest-and-theres-a-good-reason-why/

evidence that Pinterest is skyrocketing: 

  • In Q2, referral traffic from Pinterest is up 2,535 percent year over year.
  • In Q2, referral traffic from Facebook is up 2.7 percent year over year.
  • Conversion rates from Pinterest are 0.43 percent in Q2, up from 0.29 percent in Q1 2012.
  • Conversion rates for Facebook are 0.61 percent in Q2, up from 0.49 percent in Q1 2012.

Disruption in Film Making

http://wiredinsider.tumblr.com/post/25307743475/diy-cgi

Every aspiring filmmaker should get really excited right about now. A group of programming enthusiasts have successfully hacked a Kinect to produce a stunning new hybrid of video and computer generated imagery. CGI is hard. And expensive. This technique puts it within reach of anyone with a Kinect and a digital camera.

Scoot Airlines Cuts 7% of Aircraft Weight and Slashes Fuel Bills by Switching to iPad 2 Rental

http://worldnewsresource.com/scoot-airlines-cuts-7-of-aircraft-weight-and-slashes-fuel-bills-by-switching-to-ipad-2-rental/1948/frank-little

No more airline entertainment systems or servicing!

You can access the post at http://wp.me/p2j8HS-5M 

Posted at 2:36pm and tagged with: future, disruption, business models,.

futurist-foresight:

The Institute for the Future released a report on future work skills that will be needed by 2020. They are:

  • Sense-making.
  • Social intelligence.
  • Novel and adaptive thinking.
  • Cross-cultural competency.
  • Computational thinking.
  • New-media literacy.
  • Transdisciplinarity.
  • Design mind-set.
  • Cognitive load management.
  • Virtual collaboration.

(Gigaom gives a quick breakdown)

The graphic below from that report highlights areas of focus:

Future Work Skills 2020

(Source: futurist-foresight)

Posted at 6:29am and tagged with: work, future,.

Posted at 10:45pm and tagged with: tech, technology, Biotechnology, computers, future,.

Joi Ito’s Near-Perfect Explanation of the Next 100 Years

"One hundred years from now, the role of science and technology will be about becoming part of nature rather than trying to control it."

Full Story: Technology Review

Posted at 6:31am and tagged with: future, tech, technology, foresight,.

Joi Ito’s Near-Perfect Explanation of the Next 100 Years



"One hundred years from now, the role of science and technology will be about becoming part of nature rather than trying to control it."

Full Story: Technology Review

2022 is a long way off, but key digital developments are already in hand. The current explosion of mobile connectivity will surely exert an influence 10 years from now. Desktops and laptops — even tablets — may be hardware of the past, as we access the information stream using voice, gesture, and retinal displays. Immersion in this all-enveloping data field will change the way we work and think.

The displacement of information from devices will be reflected in the displacement of the worker from the workplace. Accessing the collaborative environment anywhere, anytime, a nomadic workforce will expect IT to manage the streamlining of data through virtual platforms.

As for social media, we’re not going too far out on that unpredictable limb. Will Facebook (or perhaps a successor) swallow the Internet whole, locking us into a fully socialized online experience? Or will an adverse reaction set in, driving users back into isolated silos?

Full Story: Internet Evolution

Posted at 3:41pm and tagged with: future, technology, internet, foresight, tech,.

6 Ways to Anticipate the Future of Digital Behavior

“How do we observe the future?” So began the presentation of Duane Bray, partner and head of IDEO’s global digital business, at our Mashable Connect conference in Orlando, Fla., last weekend.

IDEO is a firm that solves problems through “human-centered” design. Its clients span the business, government, education, healthcare and social sectors

Full Story: Mashable

Posted at 4:41am and tagged with: inovation, foresight, future,.

6 Ways to Anticipate the Future of Digital Behavior


“How do we observe the future?” So began the presentation of Duane Bray, partner and head of IDEO’s global digital business, at our Mashable Connect conference in Orlando, Fla., last weekend.
IDEO is a firm that solves problems through “human-centered” design. Its clients span the business, government, education, healthcare and social sectors

Full Story: Mashable

tetw:

by Carl Zimmer

Somehow we have evolved a way to switch between handling the here and now and contemplating long-term objectives. It may be no coincidence that most of the thoughts that people have during mind wandering have to do with the future.

Posted at 12:01pm and tagged with: cognitive, future,.

stoweboyd:

Lisa Hsia, EVP of digital media at NBCUniversal’s Bravo channel, is cited by Amy Chozick and Nick Wingfield in In Search Of Apps for Television:

I’ve told my bosses, ‘This is beachfront real estate. Buy in now.’

This quote is great, but the piece it’s in fails to touch on social TV and the…

Posted at 5:05pm and tagged with: social media, tech, technology, future, attention, disruption,.

tetw:

by Chris Anderson

The past 10 years have been about discovering post-institutional social models on the Web, the next 10 years will be about applying them to the real world. This story is about the next 10 years.

Posted at 3:40pm and tagged with: tech, technology, future, 3D Printing,.

Posted at 7:21pm and tagged with: business models, future, networks,.