Emergent Futures Tumblelog

This is the Tumblelog of Paul Higgins and Sandy Teagle - Futurists from Melbourne and Brisbane in Australia. Go to Emergent Futures to see more or follow on Twitter at FuturistPaul . If you right click on the pictures, titles or links in these posts you will be able to go to the original story on the web. If you click on comments for each post you can either read what others have said or add your own comment via Disqus. If you click on the date of a post it will take you to a single post view where you can copy the web link if you want to send it to someone else. If you click on the tags it will take you to other stories from Emergent Futures with the same tag.
High gas prices must be forcing Americans to cut back in other ways, right? That’s what the economists Lutz Kilian at the University of Michigan and Paul Edelstein of the consulting firm IHS Global Insight wondered. They looked at personal spending habits during periods of high energy prices and discovered that “somewhat surprisingly, there is no significant decline in total expenditures on recreation,” which was one place they expected to find frugality. More specifically, rising gas prices had “no significant effect on the consumption of movies, bowling and billiard[s], casino gambling and only insignificant declines for recreational camps, sightseeing, spectator sports and spectator amusements.” Some people bought fewer lottery tickets, they told me.

In other words, Americans may protest loudly, but their economic behavior indicates a remarkable indifference to the price of oil.

Do the dead outnumber the living?

Paul Higgins: People often get this wrong. The estimate here is that 107 Billion people have ever lived versus 7 billion alive today

Full Story: BBC

Posted at 3:40pm and tagged with: population, assumptions,.


Do the dead outnumber the living?

Paul Higgins: People often get this wrong. The estimate here is that 107 Billion people have ever lived versus 7 billion alive today

Full Story: BBC

21st century airships may join Navy fleet


A new generation of British-built airships may be bought by the Royal Navy to resupply ships, follwoing their use by the US Army on the front line in Afghanistan.

Full Story: The Telegraph

Posted at 1:14pm and tagged with: military, assumptions, tech, technology,.

21st century airships may join Navy fleet


A new generation of British-built airships may be bought by the Royal Navy to resupply ships, follwoing their use by the US Army on the front line in Afghanistan.
Full Story: The Telegraph

Obesity myths and one inconvenient truth


Paul Higgins: A must read on this issue. A question that always need to be asked is “who is benefiting from this story/crusade/etc.? Measuring whether people are eating well and exercising reasonably is difficult. Therefore we fall back on easy to measure but scientifically dubious measures such as BMI (Body Mass Index) and no-one really looks at the facts and figures which seem to be saying if you eat well and exercise moderately then your health will be reasonable unless you are significantly overweight.

"An increasing number of health professionals, academics and community groups are challenging the inconvenient truths that we have created about the obesity ‘epidemic’.

Some argue that a culture of ‘moral panic’ about fatness has been created. NGO’s, academics, health care providers and the weight loss industry have exaggerated claims to justify the need for more funding, or to spruik products and services. Many now admit that this may have hindered rather than helped our efforts to effectively respond to obesity in the sectors of the community that it affects the most.”

Full Story: Monash University

Posted at 3:27am and tagged with: health, myths, assumptions,.

Obesity myths and one inconvenient truth


Paul Higgins: A must read on this issue. A question that always need to be asked is “who is benefiting from this story/crusade/etc.? Measuring whether people are eating well and exercising reasonably is difficult. Therefore we fall back on easy to measure but scientifically dubious measures such as BMI (Body Mass Index) and no-one really looks at the facts and figures which seem to be saying if you eat well and exercise moderately then your health will be reasonable unless you are significantly overweight.
"An increasing number of health professionals, academics and community groups are challenging the inconvenient truths that we have created about the obesity ‘epidemic’.
Some argue that a culture of ‘moral panic’ about fatness has been created. NGO’s, academics, health care providers and the weight loss industry have exaggerated claims to justify the need for more funding, or to spruik products and services. Many now admit that this may have hindered rather than helped our efforts to effectively respond to obesity in the sectors of the community that it affects the most.”
Full Story: Monash University

nevver:

3 Man Chess

Posted at 6:11pm and tagged with: just because, assumptions,.

nevver:

3 Man Chess

smarterplanet:

With college costs skyrocketing and the number of jobs for new grads on the decline, it’s no wonder that students are questioning whether a degree is worth the investment. But given that the jobs of the future are projected to require some form of post-secondary education, a key question is how to provide academic knowledge and industry-specific training that will prepare students for the future. The answer might come from a throwback to the Middle Ages: apprenticeships.

» via GOOD via infoneer-pulse:

Posted at 6:16am and tagged with: assumptions, education,.

futuramb:

Studies Consistently Fail To Show Benefits Of Dietary Supplements – Experts Think It’s Time To Reevaluate | Singularity Hub

While dietary supplements remain popular in the US, a continuous stream of studies are casting increasing doubt that the widely-accepted benefits are real. Researchers and regulators are taking notice, and some are beginning to deliver a different message.

This is interesting. Maybe not for what is says, but that it might turn out to be another change of direction of health recommendations that comes from doctors and society. Another undermined truth that will force people into a world of “truthiness” that I have been talking about before.

Posted at 3:28am and tagged with: assumptions, health,.

futuramb:

Studies Consistently Fail To Show Benefits Of Dietary Supplements – Experts Think It’s Time To Reevaluate | Singularity Hub
While dietary supplements remain popular in the US, a continuous stream of studies are casting increasing doubt that the widely-accepted benefits are real. Researchers and regulators are taking notice, and some are beginning to deliver a different message.
This is interesting. Maybe not for what is says, but that it might turn out to be another change of direction of health recommendations that comes from doctors and society. Another undermined truth that will force people into a world of “truthiness” that I have been talking about before.

Why the Black Death was the mother of all plagues


Plague germs extracted from medieval corpses in a London cemetery have shed light on why the bacterium that unleashed the Black Death was so lethal and spawned later waves of epidemics.

The DNA of Yersinia pestis shows, in evolutionary terms, a highly successful germ to which the population of 14th-century Europe had no immune defences, according to a study published today in the British journal Nature.

Full Story: ABC News

Posted at 7:31am and tagged with: science, assumptions,.

Why the Black Death was the mother of all plagues


Plague germs extracted from medieval corpses in a London cemetery have shed light on why the bacterium that unleashed the Black Death was so lethal and spawned later waves of epidemics.
The DNA of Yersinia pestis shows, in evolutionary terms, a highly successful germ to which the population of 14th-century Europe had no immune defences, according to a study published today in the British journal Nature.
Full Story: ABC News